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e95climatepolicy

  issue 95 link
october/december 2000   

 

SUNK?
"Treetanic" Climate Protocol Negotiations Fail in Final Hours

Imagine you are at an old-fashioned bazaar where bargaining is still the rule. You see a nice carpet, but you don't want to pay too much for it. Should you admit to the shop owner that you are planning to buy the carpet anyway, whatever the cost? Of course not. This would be a major incentive for the shop owner to double the price. Every experienced bargainer knows that you should pretend you are not interested in the carpet, even threaten to walk away, and you will surely have the item for the best price in the end.

Jan Pronk obviously does not have a lot of experience in buying carpets. The fact that the Dutch Minister of Environment let the entire world know, months before "his" Climate Change Summit, that he would be happy with any outcome as long as it would keep the US on board, put him and other countries in a terrible bargaining position.

Like the carpet shopkeeper, the US immediately raised its price, with the result that the Kyoto Protocol was turned into a "Treetanic" Protocol. NGOs and Indigenous Peoples' Organizations (IPOs) had expected the US to try for one of two things: the acceptance of tree plantations and other sinks under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), or the acceptance of forest management and other so-called "Article 3.4 options" as opportunities to escape from energy efficiency and other greenhouse gas emissions policies. However, strengthened by the supreme bargaining position Pronk had given them, the US went for both.

It might be that the idiotic vote counting situation in Florida put the US in a very inflexible position. In any case, it was clear that the spirit of G.W Bush, known for his warm(ing) relationship with the oil industry, hung over the meeting. Some US NGOs predicted that Bush would not ratify the Kyoto Protocol anyway, so their demands might as well be ignored.

And ignore the US was exactly what the French and German Green Environmental Ministers did on the very last morning of the meeting. And we should applaud them for it, as the compromise that was on the table, which would have probably included the Article 3.4 options and possibly also sinks under the CDM, was simply unacceptable. It would have corrupted the Kyoto Protocol, as the main polluters could have met practically all commitments through business-as-usual forest management, including clearcutting and the replacement of primary forests by plantations. It would have made a farce of the Clean Development Mechanism by creating a market for carbon credits in which only large-scale monoculture tree plantations would be competitive. And it would have meant complete disaster for the world's forests and forest peoples, as it would have created a major incentive to replace primary forests and other ecosystems with environmentally and socially destructive tree plantations.

So is the Kyoto Protocol sunk? Not yet, as the Sixth Conference of the Parties will reconvene in May for another attempt at a deal (although some ballast in the form of the US might need to be thrown overboard). In any case, there should be a clear threat on the table that if the US does not give in, the train will leave without them and rules and conditions for carbon trading and other flexible mechanisms will be developed in their absence. There are several economic arguments for the US to join anyway (not to mention ecological and human rights arguments, as they seldom play a role in US foreign policy). Better a good Protocol which will have to carry on for some years without the main polluters on board then a Protocol that fails to address climate change and forms a major threat to the world's ecosystems, Indigenous Peoples and local communities.

So let us put our demands on the table again and try to reach a better deal: a good definition of forests that excludes monoculture plantations, no sinks in the Clean Development Mechanism, no business-as-usual, and tough eligibility criteria.

Simone Lovera, FoE Paraguay

Treetanic Award for the Face Foundation
Of course, the side events, actions and other activities carried out by NGOs and IPOs were far more interesting than the formal debate in The Hague. As described on the following page, the Dike and other FoEI Climate Campaign events were a great success, and hopefully played a role in preventing even greater long-term damage to the world's climate and ecosystems.

The FoEI Forest Programme also had a number of successful happenings in The Hague. A side event on the negative impacts of tree plantations was organized in coordination with other members of the Global Forest Coalition (GFC) on the first day of the conference. This well-attended event featured a presentation of the FoEI publication Tree Trouble, a compilation of testimonies on the negative impacts of tree plantations from nine national FoE groups and two other organizations. GFC members also organized a small exhibit highlighting the difference between "Kyoto Forests" (tree plantations and clearcut areas) and real forests, and published a flyer highlighting the same and calling for the exclusion of tree plantations from the Kyoto Protocol.

FoEI and other GFC members also disseminated statements, brochures and other material against the inclusion of sinks in the Clean Development Mechanism and highlighting the problems with carbon sequestration in general. Last but not least, a special "Treetanic Award" was handed out to three companies with particularly obnoxious tree plantation/carbon sinks projects. The second and third prize were given to Forestry Tasmania for rapidly replacing native forests with tree plantations and tree farms, and Norge/Kilombero Forests for a large-scale co2lonialists tree plantation project in Tanzania. The first prize, a life vest, was handed to the Dutch Face Foundation for its environmentally destructive tree plantations in the Ecuadorian Andes. Details about all three cases can be found in Tree Trouble (www.foei.org).

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